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The Bitcoin Layer

The $45,000 Bitcoin Everyone Fears Is Getting Less Likely

Ep. 282 · Aired Jul 22, 2026 · 51m · Last boosted 22d ago

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Show Notes

In this episode, Nik walks through the latest bitcoin research from Johan Bergman, head of bitcoin research at The Bitcoin Layer, using the charts inside TBL Pulse. He explains Johan's state grid, which plots bitcoin on valuation and trend, and why the framework currently places bitcoin in disbelief territory, a zone where, together with capitulation, bitcoin has spent roughly 40% of its life. Nik covers why bulls bracing for $45,000 are facing data that makes it less likely, and why the 200-day moving average near $73,000 stands as the final boss of the downtrend. He closes on why not retesting the realized price...

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clayjsealAug 1, 2026
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@npub1rxysxnjkh… Nathan did an excellent job with this interview. Simply cannot have enough reminders of the corruption and evil of the Covid regime
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clayjsealJun 24, 2026
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Thanks for matching the boost for the Samourai heroes
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clayjsealFeb 23, 2026
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One of the best episodes I’ve listened to in a while. Great bear market content. This makes me want a family more than I already do. @npub10qrssqjsy…
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clayjsealAug 5, 2026
250
This was a very helpful overview of Bitcoin technicals. We probably need to start including things like this in early Bitcoin education
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clayjsealAug 1, 2026
250
Probably the most helpful recap I’ve seen so far. Scary times in Bitcoin
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clayjsealMay 1, 2026
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I’ve missed this Saylor. I watched a 2020 interview of his last week and it reminded me of the excitement and well-roundedness of this man. Digital credit is fascinating, but I would much much rather listen to him riff on Rothbard.
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clayjsealJul 17, 2026
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This was fantastic for anyone considering homeschooling
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clayjsealDec 16, 2025
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Good to see @npub1gdu7w6l6w… back on the show. Can’t wait to read The Gold Standard
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clayjsealJul 12, 2025
100
Saturday mornings with coffee and Pomp/Visser has become a staple
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clayjsealJun 27, 2025
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If you have children to indoctrinate, you gotta get on the Tuttle Twins bandwagon
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Everyone who has boosted The $45,000 Bitcoin Everyone Fears Is Getting Less Likely on Nostr, ranked by sats sent, all time.

  1. Clay Seal 500 sats

Episode Boosts

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  • 500
    Fantastic analysis. Glad Nik is back doing content