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#552: How Bitcoin Could Predict The Next Global Conflict with James Pierog
By Marty Bent
Aired Nov 4, 2024 · 1h 48m · Last boosted Nov 7, 2024
Chapters
Show Notes
Marty sits down with James Pierog to discuss Bitcoin Prediction Market. James on Twitter: https://x.com/BillyHongBeats Bitcoin Prediction Market: https://www.bitcoinprediction.info/ 0:00 - Intro 1:38 - Arriving at Bitcoin Prediction Market 12:03 - Comparing to Polymarket and crypto model 16:37 - Unchained & Coinkite 18:31 - Prediction algorithm 21:30 - Predicting and potentially preventing conflicts 30:41 - BOLT12, ecash and DLCs 37:28 - Zaprite and SOTE 39:01 - BPM vs Polymarket UX simplicity 44::36 - Oracle problem and centralization 49:13...
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4k
blokchain_boogOct 21, 2024
2k And outro music! Gotta fix the auto. Keep it going fellas
blokchain_boogOct 21, 2024
500 The pacers? Come on gray 🤮
blokchain_boogOct 21, 2024
500 Ahh Adams and Cooper played for the raiders. Good analysis here! Wow Adams had drops
blokchain_boogOct 21, 2024
500 13 seconds pain
blokchain_boogOct 21, 2024
500 Awww shewt intro music!
Nostr Boosts:
16k
1dullgeekAug 7, 2025
2k I think you misunderstood the fire movement. They're not trying to get a 25x return. They're trying to reduce their spending so that having a nest egg that is 25x their annual spending is easier. And then live a lifestyle that allows them to withdraw 1/25th (4%) every year. The growth they need to sustain that is to merely match inflation. They don't need 25x to do that.
auburnCitadelAug 7, 2025
5k Thank you for putting together a fantastic show week after week.
1dullgeekAug 7, 2025
4.3k Also, "Bitcoin is already an index of human incentive" is the most insightful thing I've heard in a while. I'm shamelessly stealing that.
1dullgeekAug 7, 2025
4.3k As a PNRI, not all of us are stuck in the fiat mindset. I personally am as all in on Bitcoin as I can be until I actually retire. It's my long term savings. It's my checking. My paycheck goes directly into Bitcoin.
We are not beholden to our generational ideas. And it is each of our responsibility to question our assumptions. Which has fed my orange pill.
Nostr Boosts:6.5k
blokchain_boogOct 31, 2024
5k Great pod!!
blokchain_boogOct 31, 2024
500 Oil supplies gold supplies opening the markets and reserving some for the people of Suriname! Very very nice!
blokchain_boogOct 31, 2024
500 Wow!!! This sounds fantastic!!
blokchain_boogOct 31, 2024
500 Leveraging liquid to launch a stock exchange! I like it!!!
Jun 22, 2025
Nostr Boosts:6k
blokchain_boogJun 23, 2025
5k Zap
blokchain_boogJun 23, 2025
500 That rat bastard Brad. Hell of trade for Florida
blokchain_boogJun 23, 2025
500 Knicks don’t want KD! Not at that price!
Nostr Boosts:6k
blokchain_boogFeb 4, 2025
5k ZAP!!
blokchain_boogFeb 4, 2025
500 GET UN’s daughter to THERAPY IMMEDIATELY. No more chiefs fans
blokchain_boogFeb 4, 2025
500 The atlas stone! I used to watch a ton of worlds strongest man when I was a kid
Nostr Boosts:6k
blokchain_boogJan 8, 2025
5k One more thing about OVIE the race within the race he has a chance to beat Wayne’s record in few games as well which is also mind bending
blokchain_boogJan 8, 2025
500 USA @npub1k3tkt908g… USA!!!
blokchain_boogJan 8, 2025
500 Raiders fans don’t love Lane Kiffin? 😆
Nostr Boosts:6k
blokchain_boogNov 19, 2024
5k Bloked Shotz ! Love it
blokchain_boogNov 19, 2024
500 Doc rivers is killing the bucks
blokchain_boogNov 18, 2024
500 🤬damn nuggets!
Nostr Boosts:6k
blokchain_boogNov 11, 2024
5k Hot take; Doc Rivers is killing the bucks! Great pod
blokchain_boogNov 11, 2024
500 Good Ovie talk good segment 🫡
blokchain_boogNov 11, 2024
500 I miss the race for icing
Nostr Boosts:3.8k
auburnCitadelSep 4, 2025
777 Thanks Chris!
1dullgeekSep 3, 2025
999 Meant to say filtering. Dyac.
1dullgeekSep 3, 2025
2k I don't think keeping transactions with op_return > 80 bytes is censorship. In exactly the same way that I don't think letting minors create more than 21 million Bitcoin is censorship. Calling both of those censorship is demagoguery.
Nostr Boosts:
2k
BGlassSep 20, 2025
400 auburnCitadelSep 15, 2025
777 Adam is on Tom Loungo's playbook
auburnCitadelSep 15, 2025
777 We're finally going to end the revolutionary war!
Jun 19, 2025
Nostr Boosts:1.4k
BGlassJun 26, 2025
400 blokchain_boogJun 20, 2025
500 Wish Bull Bitcoin operated in USA
blokchain_boogJun 20, 2025
500 Predyx. Prediction market on built on Bitcoin https://beta.predyx.com/
Nostr Boosts:1.3k
Nostr Boosts:13k
blokchain_boogNov 29, 2024
5k Sheesh being a Damus maxi I have massive FOMO now for not using primal. I guess when you get VC money you can develop more features faster
auburnCitadelNov 29, 2024
7.8k I'm feeling legend FOMO
Nostr Boosts:9.8k
blokchain_boogNov 23, 2024
2k Big fan of Calle I drop e cash nuts DAILY
auburnCitadelNov 19, 2024
7.8k LFG
Nostr Boosts:6k
blokchain_boogNov 4, 2024
5k We DEMAND A HOCKEY SEGMENT!
blokchain_boogNov 4, 2024
1k 😂😂😂Darth! 😂😂😂
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogSep 11, 2025
5k ZAP!
blokchain_boogSep 11, 2025
500 I agree car! STOP USING TELEGRAM FOR SUPPORT!
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogJun 19, 2025
5k Zap
blokchain_boogJun 19, 2025
500 8 hour laptop battery is bananas!🍌
Jun 15, 2025
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogJun 18, 2025
5k 👏👏
blokchain_boogJun 18, 2025
500 Of course I take the yanks when they can’t score!!
Jun 8, 2025
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
Jun 8, 2025
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogJun 9, 2025
5k Zap! Paul to the Mets!
blokchain_boogJun 9, 2025
500 I agree with gray. True PG Tyrese is up there maybe the best . (Pains me to say)
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
May 3, 2025
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogMay 5, 2025
5k EK comes up from out of the shadows
blokchain_boogMay 5, 2025
500 Test
May 4, 2025
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogMay 5, 2025
5k 👏👏hockey is so hard because of moments like last night. Jets win an epic game
blokchain_boogMay 4, 2025
500 JJ reddick should be slapped for some of the coaching decisions
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogApr 28, 2025
5k Leafs lose in 6 in round 2
blokchain_boogApr 28, 2025
500 Great point ruby. Bills made that mistake with Elam
Mar 23, 2025
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogMar 24, 2025
5k Keep it up fellas
blokchain_boogMar 24, 2025
500 Why not put Arizona with San Diego LA and the angels
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogMar 24, 2025
500 Well I didn’t know plebdev and plebpoet were married mind blown 🤯
blokchain_boogMar 24, 2025
5k Can’t wait for the print zine Zap!
Feb 9, 2025
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
blokchain_boogFeb 10, 2025
5k Stupid Celtics
blokchain_boogFeb 10, 2025
500 Speaking about football in Mexico. A year or two ago the Mexican woman’s flag football team destroyed the American team. I couldn’t believe it! So if the NFL went to Mexico I think they will have a decent fan base
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
Nostr Boosts:5.5k
Nostr Community
Everyone who has boosted #552: How Bitcoin Could Predict The Next Global Conflict with James Pierog on Nostr, ranked by sats sent, all time.
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Auburn Citadel
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Episode Boosts
Every boost sent to this episode, as published to Nostr, newest first.
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Great guest. Hopefully they don’t get shut down for holding the funds before the outcome is decided
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Fun show
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Awesome rip!